Data-Scarce Dryland SOC Mapping Using Landsat Spectral Indices and a Hybrid Gradient Boosting Kriging Framework
| dc.contributor.author | Gunal, H. | |
| dc.contributor.author | Ismael, A. M. | |
| dc.contributor.author | Kilic, M. | |
| dc.contributor.author | Budak, M. | |
| dc.contributor.author | Polat, K. | |
| dc.contributor.author | Acir, N. | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2026-06-19T06:39:20Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2026-06-19T06:39:20Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2026 | |
| dc.department | Malatya Turgut Özal Üniversitesi | |
| dc.description.abstract | Accurate estimation of soil organic carbon (SOC) is critical in arid, data-limited regions where land degradation and climatic stress disrupt carbon cycling. We developed a hybrid learning-geostatistical framework that couples Bayesian-tuned gradient boosting decision trees (GBDT) with ordinary kriging (OK) of model residuals to capture both covariate-driven variance and residual spatial autocorrelation. Field-measured SOC observations were integrated with Landsat-8/9 spectral derivatives (vegetation and soil reflectance indices). GBDT modeled nonlinear SOC-environment relationships; OK then interpolated the spatially structured residuals, and the two components were summed to form final predictions. The hybrid raised held-out performance to R2 = 0.72 and reduced RMSE by 32.8% relative to GBDT alone. Vegetation indices explained 57% of the variance attributed to predictors (rising to 66.6% when the brightness index is included), indicating a central role for plant-soil feedbacks in carbon accumulation. The approach is readily scalable for semi-arid landscapes and supports evidence-based restoration targeting, climate adaptation planning, and MRV (monitoring, reporting, verification) of carbon outcomes. | |
| dc.identifier.doi | 10.1134/S1064229325604470 | |
| dc.identifier.issn | 1064-2293 | |
| dc.identifier.issn | 1556-195X | |
| dc.identifier.issue | 4 | |
| dc.identifier.scopus | 2-s2.0-105034399662 | |
| dc.identifier.scopusquality | Q2 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://doi.org/10.1134/S1064229325604470 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12899/5544 | |
| dc.identifier.volume | 59 | |
| dc.identifier.wos | WOS:001714314700005 | |
| dc.identifier.wosquality | Q4 | |
| dc.indekslendigikaynak | Web of Science | |
| dc.indekslendigikaynak | Scopus | |
| dc.language.iso | en | |
| dc.publisher | Pleiades Publishing Ltd | |
| dc.relation.ispartof | Eurasian Soil Science | |
| dc.relation.publicationcategory | Makale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı | |
| dc.rights | info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess | |
| dc.snmz | KA_WOS_20260612 | |
| dc.subject | Spatial Machine Learning | |
| dc.subject | Ensemble Regression | |
| dc.subject | Arid Agroecosystems | |
| dc.subject | Multispectral Satellite Imagery | |
| dc.subject | Geostatistical Prediction | |
| dc.title | Data-Scarce Dryland SOC Mapping Using Landsat Spectral Indices and a Hybrid Gradient Boosting Kriging Framework | |
| dc.type | Article |












